Voters are more likely to expect Harris to win the popular vote than to win the Electoral College

Who do you think will win the [national popular vote / Electoral College vote] in the 2024 presidential election? (% of registered voters)

Note: Candidate support comes from registered voters' responses to the question, "In November 2024, who do you plan to vote for in the presidential election?"
YouGov 2022
Chart: David H. Montgomery The Economist / YouGov | September 1 - 3, 2024 Get the data