Local elections 2026: aggregate-level correlations

Pearson correlation coefficients between aggregate-level census data and the 2026 local election vote share and swing for each party, for the electoral ward or County Electoral District.

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Credit to the amazing team at Election Maps UK (https://electionmaps.uk/), where the election results data comes from. Analysis based on 83% of lower-tier and 97% of council wards (12:30pm, Sat 9th June). Will be updated when all results are in. Note: swings data reflects results for fewer wards than shares data (due to boundary changes).

Chart: Dr Lawrence McKay [@lawrencemckay.bsky.social]Get the dataCreated with Datawrapper