Estimated change in employment associated with a one-point increase in AI exposure, by gender and education level, comparing 2017–19 with January 2023–June 2026.
Range chart comparing men’s and women’s estimated U.S. employment changes associated with each one-point higher AI exposure score, from 0 to 3.5. Higher scores mean AI can do or help with more tasks. Comparing 2017–2019 with January 2023–June 2026: among workers with a high school diploma or less, men’s employment increased 8.8% and women’s decreased 9.5% per point; with some college, including associate degrees, men increased 3.6% and women decreased 6%; with a four-year degree or more, men increased 0.8% and women 0.7%, neither statistically significant. The separate overall estimates are 6.3% for men and 0.2% for women. These are modeled associations, not proof AI caused the changes.