Polls suggest electoral college will be on knife's edge

Based on polling averages in each of the 50 states, neither Trump nor Harris are projected to win without the 93 swing state votes.
'Solid' = states with 10%+ lead, 'lean' = 5-10% lead.

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270 votes are needed
to win the election

These estimates are based on average polling projections, and are not the official view of the Independent. Polls are subject to change, and election night results will differ.

Chart: Alicja Hagopian