How far would a typical playoff squad go from each seed?

Simulated chance of advancing through the 2024-25 College Football Playoff (based on SRS ratings) for each seed when it was replaced with a generic playoff-caliber team*

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* Generic replacement teams were given an SRS of +16.7, which is the average for the 2024-25 CFP field.

Chart: Neil PaineSource: Sports-Reference/CFBGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper