| Arizona | |
| Biden | 48.4 |
| Trump | 46.6 |
| Jorjensen | 1.4 |
| Hawkins | 0.2 |
| MoE | -/+3.5 |
| Florida | |
| Biden | 48.4 |
| Trump | 46.9 |
| Jorjensen | 1.7 |
| Hawkins | 0.8 |
| MoE | -/+3.6 |
| Georgia | |
| Biden | 46.7 |
| Trump | 48 |
| Jorjensen | 2.3 |
| Hawkins | 0 |
| MoE | |
| Michigan | |
| Biden | 50 |
| Trump | 43 |
| Jorjensen | 3.5 |
| Hawkins | 0.5 |
| MoE | -/+3.7 |
| North Carolina | |
| Biden | 50 |
| Trump | 48 |
| Jorjensen | 2 |
| Hawkins | 0 |
| MoE | -/+3.7 |
| Pennsylvania | |
| Biden | 51 |
| Trump | 46 |
| Jorjensen | 2 |
| Hawkins | 0 |
| MoE | -/+3.3 |
| Wisconsin | |
| Biden | 52 |
| Trump | 45 |
| Jorjensen | 2 |
| Hawkins | 0 |
| MoE | -/+3.2 |
| Average | |
| Biden | 49.4 |
| Trump | 46.2 |
| Jorjensen | 2.1 |
| Hawkins | 0.2 |
| MoE | -/+3.5 |
| Biden | Trump | Jorjensen | Hawkins | MoE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 48.4 | 46.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | -/+3.5 |
| Florida | 48.4 | 46.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | -/+3.6 |
| Georgia | 46.7 | 48 | 2.3 | 0 | |
| Michigan | 50 | 43 | 3.5 | 0.5 | -/+3.7 |
| North Carolina | 50 | 48 | 2 | 0 | -/+3.7 |
| Pennsylvania | 51 | 46 | 2 | 0 | -/+3.3 |
| Wisconsin | 52 | 45 | 2 | 0 | -/+3.2 |
| Average | 49.4 | 46.2 | 2.1 | 0.2 | -/+3.5 |
