Air travel will take many years to recover
Bain & Company aviation recovery scenarios, 2020–23
'Drifting' refers to a pessimistic scenario of rolling Covid-19 outbreaks throughout 2021. 'Baseline' refers to the most likely scenario based on current conditions.
IATA, IMF, Economist Intelligence Unit, John Hopkins University, University of Oxford, UNWTO, World Bank, Numbeo, Bain analysis