Five teams own most of the Super Bowl probability this year

Chance to make -- and win -- Super Bowl LIX for the leading favorites, and the rest of the field, according to Elo simulations

* For the purposes of the "Make Super Bowl" category, these refer to scenarios where at least one -- or neither -- of the two teams in the Super Bowl were among the Top 5 teams listed above.
Chart: Neil PaineSource: nflseedR, Pro-Football-ReferenceCreated with Datawrapper