In most parts of the state, fewer than half of registered voters approve of Trump

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Source: PPIC Statewide Surveys (February, June, October, December 2025); Statewide Database (place-level election results for modeling); Integrated Public Use Microdata Series 1% sample of 2024 American Community Survey (Ruggles et al. 2025; Census estimates for weighting).

NOTES: Shading represents the share of registered voters who approve of President Trump. Estimates come from multilevel regression and post-stratification models as described in Technical Appendix A. Full model results and question wording can be found in Technical Appendix B.