Impact of vaccine assumptions on number of COVID-19 cases in major economies compared to baseline scenario

Per 100,000

Blue (red) areas show the difference of new daily confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100000 individuals between the upside (downside) scenario and the baseline pandemic scenario. Scenarios are modelled using a stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model as in Zhou and Ji (2020).
Source: World Bank Embed this chart