Figure 3: ODA cuts, to date (2023–25) and projected (2026–28)

Donor-level grant-equivalent ODA change, split between the 2023-2025 actual fall and the 2025-2028 projected change.

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USD billions, constant 2024 prices. Negative values are reductions; positive values are increases. Actuals are OECD DAC data; projections are May 2026 author estimates. Other comprises Poland, Belgium, Sweden, Ireland, Finland, Austria, South Korea, Denmark and Spain.

Sources: OECD DAC Statistics; author estimates: May 2026 gold-standard central projections for 2026-2028 donor changes.

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