Estimated seat wins by party for a given One Nation vote, Victorian state election
Based on primary votes from leaked Redbridge/Accent MRP, using Ben Raue's preference flow estimates. Starts from a baseline of 27% for One Nation and assumes One Nation gains 0.67% from Coalition and 0.33% from Labor for each 1% growth, and vice versa for a lower vote.
Based on primary votes from leaked Redbridge/Accent MRP, using Ben Raue's preference flow estimates. Starts from a baseline of 27% for One Nation and assumes One Nation gains 0.67% from Coalition and 0.33% from Labor for each 1% growth, and vice versa for a lower vote.
