Range chart showing the largest estimated ranges of GDP impact of a Russian gas shutoff, by country, modeling the 12 month effects of a full shutoff beginning in July 2022 for Hungary, Slovakia, Italy, Czechia, Germany, and the EU. With a fragmented market approach, Hungary's GDP could decrease by 2.5% to 6.5%, Slovakia by 5.7% to 2.5%, and the total EU by 2.7 to 1.8%. With an integrated market approach, Hungary's GDP could decrease by 3.4 to 1.1%, Slovakia by 2.6 to 0.8%, and the total EU by 1.4 % to 0.4%.