Chart 2: US recession probability heating up

Forecast estimates from selected banks and rating agencies, probability of a recession in the US in the next 12-months

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J.P.Morgan and HSBC probabilities are for a recession in the calendar year of 2025.

Chart: Matthew Allman/InfometricsSource: J.P.Morgan/Goldman Saches/S&P Global/HSBC/InfometricsGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper