Up to two thirds of driving could be autonomous by 2050

Self-driving share of car vehicle-miles on three adoption paths. The share is gross of manual reversion: it is the pool the charge is levied on

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The OBR's medium-term forecast window ends in 2030-31, where every path is has below 1% AV adoption. AVs offer a long run tax base.The share is gross of manual reversion: it is the pool the charge is levied on.

Chart: Centre for British ProgressSource: CBP AV adoption model; DfT NRTP 2022Get the data