How are Democrats doing with each subgroup?

How much ground are Democrats gaining or losing among registered voters of each group, relative to Kamala Harris' 2024 margins?

(Please use a modern browser to see the interactive version of this visualization)

Data taken from The Argument's aggregated national registered voter survey data between August and December, 2025. Subgroup sizes: n=7662 (all voters), n=908 (Black), n=873 (Hispanic), n=313 (Asian), and n=5385 (White). All data shown is two-way margin, comparing the generic congressional vote (with undecideds pushed) to the 2024 two-way recalled vote among those who voted for either major party candidate.

Chart: The ArgumentSource: The Argument