Stacked bar chart showing expert opinion on whether Beijing could effectively quarantine, blockade or invade Taiwan, from a survey of 52 experts from the U.S. and 35 from Taiwan conducted late 2023. U.S. experts consistently saw China as more capable than Taiwanese experts. 91% of U.S. experts thought Beijing could quarantine Taiwan, 81% agreed they could blockade, and 27% agreed they could invade. In contrast, 63% of Taiwanese experts thought Beijing could quarantine Taiwan, 60% agreed they could blockade, and just 17% thought they could invade.