This graph represents the MPs likely to be elected based on the result of the Reid Research poll made public on the 27th of May. The extreme left case assumes an under-threshold NZF party wins an electorate seat. All three cases assume ACT wins an electorate seat. In simulating likely results, NZF were under threshold 100% of the time, andthe Greens 8.4% of the time over 2,000 iterations.