YouGov's MRP model of the 2025 Australian election projects as two-party preferred swing of 3.2 points to the Coalition

Estimated federal-level two-party-projected vote share from the YouGov Australia MRP model. %

YouGov 2022
YouGov conducted 40,689 interviews with Australians between 22 January and 12 February 2025. From this data, we used MRP to model 8,732 respondents to project the election.