Winter heating oil bill per household, this winter vs last

Average bill for a household heating with oil, November–March, nominal dollars. Percentages compare to last winter.
■ Warmer winter (EIA case)   ■ Expected weather (EIA base)   ■ Colder winter (EIA case)

Arrows show each step up: in the middle group, the change from last winter's bill; in the right group, what holding EIA's October 2026 price estimate ($6.15/gal) flat all winter adds to EIA's forecast for the same weather ($342–$354). EIA's forecast price differs by weather case ($5.24 warmer, $5.26 expected, $5.35 colder). Heating oil prices are U.S. averages and include taxes; bills include oil used for water heating.
Chart: Energy InnovationSource: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook (October 2026), Winter Fuels Outlook table WF01