Round-by-round survey estimates of the New York City mayoral race, based on who respondents said would be their first choice
Based on survey of 1,350 NYC likely Democratic primary voters conducted June 9-12, 2025
A heat table showing the results of a survey of likely NYC Democratic primary voters on who their first choice mayoral candidate is. The table shows how ranked choice voting will work. Candidates with the fewest votes are eliminated in each round, and their votes transferred to other candidates. In this survey, Andrew Cuomo wins the election in round 7 with 55% of the vote compared to Zohran Mamdani with 45%.