Figure 1

Medicaid is one of the fastest growing federal programs

Real growth in federal outlays, FYs 2016–2025

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Sources: CBO Budget and Economic Outlook: 2017 to 2027; and CBO Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036.

Note: Figures are adjusted for inflation using CBO's GDP price index, from CBO's February 2026 Historical Data and Economic Projections.