UCP Vote Compass Vote Choice Model

How various voter attributes affect the likelihood of voting for a particular party, according to the model. The numbers reflect a percentage-point increase (or decrease) associated with each attribute.

The likelihood of voting UCP in this model is in relation to a reference category for age and previous vote. For example, the reference group for the age categories is voters who are 18-29; for previous vote, it is people who did not vote in 2019; and for education, the reference is people with college or trade school training. Estimates for ideology, leader evaluations, and most-important issues in this model estimate the difference in likelihood between respondents with minimal and maximum scores in each category.
Source: Vote Compass Get the data