Correlation coefficient of detrended global average temperature with SSTs in the Nino 3.4 region

Correlation for January 1950 - December 2024 period

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Negative values on x-axis mean a lead (air temperatures changing before ENSO events); positive values mean a lag (air temperatures changing after ENSO events)

Source: GISTEMP, NASA; NOAAGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper