In pre-dropout polls, even winning most McMorrow voters wouldn't put Stevens in the lead

Simple average and average weighted by poll recency of Michigan Democratic primary polls conducted before Mallory McMorrow's dropout in 2026, with McMorrow's voteshare re-allocated between Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed

Note: Polls in the date weighted average are weighted based on their median field date, with more recent polls receiving more weight.
Source: The New York TimesGet the dataDownload image