Shapiro Has Large Lead Over Garrity, With Some Support Among GOP Voters

Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding 21-point lead over State Treasurer Stacy Garrity less than six weeks before the election. In addition to leading among independents, Shapiro also garners the votes of 19% of self-identified Republicans and 18% of voters who supported President Donald Trump when he narrowly won the state two years ago.

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Note: Poll was conducted from September 15 to 21, 2026. Responses shown here have margins of error ranging from 2.6 to 15.4 percentage points. Percentages may not add to 100 due to rounding.

Chart: Joe Yerardi / StaffSource: Philadelphia Inquirer/New York Times/Siena University poll