Composite probability of making the Round of 68 in the 2025 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament, based on an average of probabilities from ESPN Analytics, BartTorvik.com, TeamRankings.com and PlayoffStatus.com

Last updated: Sunday, March 16, 2025, 8:23:04 AM

PlayoffStatus.com probabilities were adjusted to account for the chance of playing First Four games based on likely seeds.
Chart: Neil PaineSource: ESPN Analytics, Bart Torvik, TeamRankings, PlayoffStatusGet the dataCreated with Datawrapper