YouGov's first MRP of the 2025 Australian election points to a close race, with Coalition majority possible

Lower and higher range of estimated federal-level results from the YouGov Australia MRP model.

YouGov 2022
YouGov conducted 40,689 interviews with Australians between 22 January and 12 February 2025. From this data, we used MRP to model 8,732 respondents to project the election.