Weekly projections of Canadian parliament seats for the 2025 election, by party
Dec. 12, 2021, to March 2, 2025
A line chart showing projected Canadian parliament seats, by party, for the 2025 election. The Conservative and Liberal parties were mostly tied for seats through 2022 and 2023. In 2024, the Conservative Party started seeing higher projections, reached a peak of 238 seats. Similarly, the Liberal party saw declining projections, hitting a low of 35 seats. That rapidly changed after January 2025. As of March 2, 2025, the Conservative Party is projected to have 160 seats and the Liberal Party to have 139.