How has AfD's polling shifted amid recent turmoil?
Alternative for Germany (AfD)'s place in the polls has remained stable overall but gained several points since early December, while the CDC/CSU alliance has lost traction.
On average, opinion polls show the CDC/CSU margin shrinking from around 13.5% in early December, to 9% in the latest polls.
Grey vertical lines mark suspected migrant terror attacks in Germany.
Rolling averages calculated every for every five sets of polls. Dots represent variation between polls from INSA, Infratest Dimap, YouGov, and Forschungsgruppe Wahle
since August 1 2024. Note: polls are often released 1-2 weeks after respondents are surveyed, so there is a likely time lag between current events and polling shifts.
