Autumn Days With High Fire Risk Are Expected To Increase In California

Over the next 80 years, climate scientists predict that California will see a growing number of autumn days with extreme fire weather. These smoothed projections show the trend of how many high fire danger days researchers predict California may see each September - November through 2100.

Climate projections like these often show fewer large year-to-year swings because they're an average of various models, which is why these projections don't show some of the high spikes in extreme fire weather days that have been observed in years like 2018. Full methods described in Goss et al., 2020.
Chart: Emily Zentner | CapRadio Source: Goss et al., 2020 Get the data