Democratic margins in 2016

Actual results versus the final averages in percentage points

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Source: 2016 General Election Polls: Trump vs. Clinton | RealClearPolling; National Polls | 2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight. September 2, 2024.

Note: *Miss equals the difference between the final average and the actual results. (T) indicates a Trump lead.

The Brookings Institution