Projecting the 2024 season based on 2023

Accounting for underlying team strength (Pythagorean expectations), draw difficulty, and modelled onfield list strength

Pythagorean expected wins = results adjusted for underlying strength.
Draw impact = Effects of the change in uneven draws in 2023 and 2024, with positive numbers showing an easier draw this season.
Player model projects Player Approximate Value, accounting for list changes and modelled player availability with average "injury luck".
ABC Source: AFLtables, HPNFooty.com Get the data