25 GOP-held seats likely to decide House majority

Republican-held U.S. House seats that will be critical to determining the 2026 majority, by the incumbent, median rating of rating outlets, and 2024 presidential margin in district

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*Seat redistricted ahead of 2026 election.
Data reflects new district lines in California. Data for Virginia seats based on state's present boundaries, not the proposed Democratic-drawn map currently up for debate in that state.

Source: Dave's Redistricting App, The Downballot, The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball